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jrtomScoop.co.nz: Complete US Exit Poll Data Confirms Net Suspicions
For those who read my "exit poll redux" post, this article confirms that the CalTech/MIT study had been using the "adjusted" poll results, which means that it basically says nothing useful about the relation between the actual exit polls and the reported tabulated results. The "appendix" down at the bottom covers some of the oft-quoted bugaboos (e.g., the male/female ratio bias) of the exit poll results and debunks their supposed impact.
CommonDreams.org: 'Stinking Evidence' of Possible Election Fraud Found in Florida
In which it is revealed that there really is something rotten in the state of Florida's tabulated results, and that it is almost unquestionably intentional.
You know, while it is still theoretically possible that all these things are unrelated and coincidental and accidental and that there really was not a widespread effort to pervert the election results, I'm now reminded of the phrase "whelk's chance in a supernova". (One of the articles my previous post pointed to observed that the chances of seeing the observed exit poll discrepancies for Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania was 1 in 250 million. And that's just for those three states.)
So, which is scarier: the stealing of an election coordinated from the top by the Bush administration (or perhaps the Republican Party leadership), or a grass-roots, bottom-up, uncoordinated effort towards the same end? The former suggests "regime change" as a possible solution; the latter suggests that the only real option you have left is secession. Except that, well, despite all the words spent discussing that option, we really do live in a purple nation, and most of the blueness is in the major population centers. Which means that secession just doesn't work: you don't have an even vaguely contiguous region.
For those who read my "exit poll redux" post, this article confirms that the CalTech/MIT study had been using the "adjusted" poll results, which means that it basically says nothing useful about the relation between the actual exit polls and the reported tabulated results. The "appendix" down at the bottom covers some of the oft-quoted bugaboos (e.g., the male/female ratio bias) of the exit poll results and debunks their supposed impact.
CommonDreams.org: 'Stinking Evidence' of Possible Election Fraud Found in Florida
In which it is revealed that there really is something rotten in the state of Florida's tabulated results, and that it is almost unquestionably intentional.
You know, while it is still theoretically possible that all these things are unrelated and coincidental and accidental and that there really was not a widespread effort to pervert the election results, I'm now reminded of the phrase "whelk's chance in a supernova". (One of the articles my previous post pointed to observed that the chances of seeing the observed exit poll discrepancies for Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania was 1 in 250 million. And that's just for those three states.)
So, which is scarier: the stealing of an election coordinated from the top by the Bush administration (or perhaps the Republican Party leadership), or a grass-roots, bottom-up, uncoordinated effort towards the same end? The former suggests "regime change" as a possible solution; the latter suggests that the only real option you have left is secession. Except that, well, despite all the words spent discussing that option, we really do live in a purple nation, and most of the blueness is in the major population centers. Which means that secession just doesn't work: you don't have an even vaguely contiguous region.