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jrtompicked up (natch!) from Boing Boing: Though Experiments: When the Singularity is More Than a Literary Device: An Interview with Futurist-Inventor Ray Kurzweil
Interesting. My gut feeling is that, in this context--that is, making predictions about the future of the human race as informed by new things we'll be able to do with AI Any Day Now--Kurzweil is a kook. A highly intelligent, informed, entertaining, and articulate kook, but a kook nonetheless.
I'd also like to point out the two, um, big holes in the second paragraph:
(1) Moore's Law (which seems to be what this notion is taken from) doesn't suggest that the doubling rate for processor speed is going to increase at any point.
(2) The end of Moore's Law's applicability is in sight.
Cory, I have a lot of respect for you and your writing, but, well, you goofed.
Interesting. My gut feeling is that, in this context--that is, making predictions about the future of the human race as informed by new things we'll be able to do with AI Any Day Now--Kurzweil is a kook. A highly intelligent, informed, entertaining, and articulate kook, but a kook nonetheless.
I'd also like to point out the two, um, big holes in the second paragraph:
When the speed and scope of our cognition is hitched to the price-performance curve of microprocessors, our "prog-ress" will double every eighteen months, and then every twelve months, and then every ten, and eventually, every five seconds.
(1) Moore's Law (which seems to be what this notion is taken from) doesn't suggest that the doubling rate for processor speed is going to increase at any point.
(2) The end of Moore's Law's applicability is in sight.
Cory, I have a lot of respect for you and your writing, but, well, you goofed.